Budget and Debt of USA

United States public debt

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_public_debt

Total Federal Funds: $2,650 billion  ($2.65 trillion)

with a total debt of $59,100 billion ($59.1 trillion)

Sen Russ Feingold: Gen Petraeus Iraq Surge Hearing:

"Osama Bin Laden stated goal in 2004 is to destroy US by bankrupting US "

And of course George Bush cooperated.

 

The United States total public debt, commonly called the national debt, or U.S. government debt, is the amount of money owed by the United States federal government to creditors who hold U.S. debt instruments. Debt held by the public is all federal debt held by states, corporations, individuals, and foreign governments, but does not include intragovernmental debt obligations or debt held for Social Security. Types of securities held by the public include, but are not limited to, Treasury Bills, Notes, Bonds, TIPS, United States Savings Bonds, and State and Local Government Series securities.[1]

As of April 2008, the total U.S. federal debt was approximately $9.5 trillion[2], about $79,000 in average for each American taxpayer. Of this amount, debt held by the public was roughly $5.3 trillion.[3] If, in addition, unfunded Medicaid, Social Security, etc. promises are added, this figure rises to a total of $59.1 trillion.[4] In 2007 the public debt was 36.8 percent of GDP ranking 65th in the world.[5]

It is important to differentiate between public debt and external debt. The former is the amount owed by the government to its creditors, whether they are nationals or foreigners. The latter is the debt of all sectors of the economy (public and private), owed to foreigners. In the U.S., foreign ownership of the public debt is a significant part of the nation's external debt (see also below). The Bureau of the Public Debt, a division of the United States Department of the Treasury, calculates the amount of money owed by the national government on a daily basis.

 Risks to the U.S. dollar

By definition, international trade is the exchange of goods and services across national borders. Historically the currencies of nations involved were backed by precious metals (typically using some form of Gold Standard), which would cause a nation operating under a trade imbalance to send precious metals (economic goods in and of themselves) to correct any trade imbalances. In the current scheme of fiat money, the U.S. government is free to print all the money it wants. Consequentially, the government cannot technically go bankrupt as any debtor nation can just issue more money through a practice known as seigniorage.[25]

If there is a gross imbalance between the amount of new money being brought into circulation and the amount of economic goods that are represented by an economy, then there is an unstable situation that can lead to hyperinflation.[26] This has been observed in smaller nations such as Argentina in 1989; the International Monetary Fund and World Bank try to end such crises by working with the problem country to institute sound economic policies and restore faith in the international community that the country can again service its debt with a stable currency.[27]

The interest rate offered on new bond issues is the one that clears the market. On December 13 2006, the U.S. 30-year treasury note had a rate of 5.375%. Were investors to become concerned about the future value of the US Dollar, they would demand a higher interest rate on US bonds to compensate them for the risk they are assuming.[28]

In 2006, Professor Laurence Kotlikoff argued the United States must eventually choose between "bankruptcy," raising taxes, or cutting payouts. He assumes there will be ever-growing payment obligations from Medicare and Medicaid.[29] Others who have attempted to bring this issue to the fore of America's attention range from Ross Perot in his 1992 Presidential bid, to Investment guru Robert Kiyosaki, David Walker, head of the Government Accountability Office, and most recently, 2008 Presidential Candidate Ron Paul.[30][31]

 

 Amount of foreign ownership of U.S. debt

A traditional defense of the national debt is that we "owe the debt to ourselves", but that is increasingly not true. The US debt in the hands of foreign governments is 25% of the total[32], virtually double the 1988 figure of 13%.[33] Despite the declining willingness of foreign investors to continue investing in dollar denominated instruments as the US Dollar has fallen in 2007,[34] the U.S. Treasury statistics indicate that, at the end of 2006, foreigners held 44% of federal debt held by the public.[35] About 66% of that 44% was held by the central banks of other countries, in particular the central banks of Japan and China. In total, lenders from Japan and China held 47% of the foreign-owned debt.[36] Some argue this exposes the United States to potential financial or political risk that either banks will stop buying Treasury securities or start selling them heavily. In fact, the debt held by Japan reached a maximum in August of 2004 and has fallen nearly 3% since then.[37]

In 2006, the central banks of Italy, Russia, Sweden, and the United Arab Emirates announced they would reduce their dollar holdings slightly, with Sweden moving from a 90% dollar-based foreign reserve to 85%. [38] On May 20, 2007, Kuwait discontinued pegging its currency exclusively to the dollar, preferring to use the dollar in a basket of currencies.[39] Syria made a similar announcement on June 4, 2007.[40]

 

End of
Fiscal Year
US Public Debt
USD billions[45]
% of GDP[46]
1910 2.6
1920 25.9
1930 16.2
1940 43.0 44.2
1950 257.4 80.2
1960 290.2 45.7
1970 389.2 28.0
1980 930.2 26.1
1990 3233 42.0
2000 5674 35.1
2005 7933 37.4
2007 9008 36.8
2008   37.9(est)

 

 

References

  1. ^ US GAO Financial Audit: Bureau of the Public Debt's Fiscal Years 2004 and 2003 Schedules of Federal Debt GAO-05-116 November 5, 2004.
  2. ^ U.S. National Debt Clock
  3. ^ Government - Schedules of Federal Debt – Daily, Unaudited
  4. ^ Taxpayers on the hook for $59 trillion - USATODAY.com
  5. ^ CIA - The World Factbook - Rank Order - Public debt
  6. ^ "Fiscal Year 2000: Budget of the United States Government." Office of Management and Budget, Executive Office of the President. Government Printing Office 2003. 2002 U.S. Budget.
  7. ^ "Fiscal Year 2005 Mid-Session Review: Budget of the United States Government." Office of Management and Budget, Executive Office of the President. 2005. [1]
  8. ^ "The Budget and Economic Outlook: An Update." Congressional Budget Office, Congress of the United States. August 2003 [2]
  9. ^ "Mid-term and long-term deficit projections." Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, Committee for Economic Development, and Concord Coalition. 29 Sept. 2003.[3]
  10. ^ a b c "The Macro Economy Today" by Bradley Schiller;
  11. ^ a b "Secrets of the Temple" by William Greider.
  12. ^ http://www.ustreas.gov/tic/mfh.txt
  13. ^ China's foreign reserves | Who wants to be a trillionaire? | Economist.com
  14. ^ FRB: H.6 Release-Money Stock and Debt Measures-March 20, 2008
  15. ^ http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2007/08/07/bcnchina107a.xml
  16. ^ Congressional Budget Office - Home Page
  17. ^ Macroeconomics, 6th Ed. by Gregory Mankiw P. 128-129
  18. ^ An Economy On Thin Ice (washingtonpost.com)
  19. ^ Historical Tables of the FY 2007 Budget
  20. ^ Learning To Love Debt - Articles - Financial Planning
  21. ^ Bureau of Labor Statistics Data
  22. ^ The Skeptical Optimist: Paying down the debt: Our dubious history, and a startling conclusion
  23. ^ www.rodgermitchell.com
  24. ^ Explaining Japan's Recession - Benjamin Powell - Mises Institute
  25. ^ "A History of Money and Banking in the United States" by Dr. Murray Rothbard
  26. ^ Macroeconomics 6th Edition by Gregory Mankiw P. 106-108
  27. ^ The Role of the IMF in Argentina, 1991-2002, Issues Paper/Terms of Reference for an Evaluation by the Independent Evaluation Office (IEO), July 2003
  28. ^ Dollar's retreat raises fear of collapse - International Herald Tribune
  29. ^ Is the United States Bankrupt? <<<<<
  30. ^ Yahoo! Personal Finance: Calculators,Money Advice,Guides,& More
  31. ^ America The Bankrupt, GAO Head Takes Fiscal Show On The Road To Warn Of Trouble Ahead - CBS News
  32. ^ Just who owns the U.S. national debt? - Answer desk - MSNBC.com  <<<<<
  33. ^ Amadeo, Kimberly. The U.S. Debt and How It Got So Big. About.com. Retrieved on 2007-07-07.
  34. ^ ParaPundit: Foreign Investment In US Declines With Dollar Decline
  35. ^ Analytical Perspectives of the FY 2008 Budget
  36. ^ http://www.treas.gov/tic/mfh.txt
  37. ^ http://www.treas.gov/tic/mfh.txt
  38. ^ Bank of Italy shift out of dlr marks global trend
  39. ^ Kuwait pegs dinar to basket of currencies - Forbes.com
  40. ^ Bloomberg.com: Worldwide. Retrieved on 2007-11-04.
  41. ^ http://www.publicdebt.treas.gov/opd/opdhisto1.htm
  42. ^ http://www.publicdebt.treas.gov/opd/opdhisto2.htm
  43. ^ Government - Historical Debt Outstanding – Annual
  44. ^ Historical Tables of the FY 2007 Budget
  45. ^ Government - Historical Debt Outstanding – Annual
  46. ^ Historical Tables of the FY 2009 Budget
  47. ^ UPDATE 1-U.S. Senate agrees to raise U.S. credit limit. Retrieved on 2007-11-04.
  48. ^ The $8.3 Trillion Debt Clock | TheLedger.com
  49. ^ Historical tables, FY 2009 U. S. Budget
  50. ^ U.S. Treasury website
  51. ^ Bureau of Economic Analysis
  52. ^ Labor Force Statistics from the Current Population Survey Overview
  53. ^ IRS Collections by State and Type 1998-2006. Retrieved on 2007-11-04.
  54. ^ FRB: Z.1 Release- Flow of Funds Accounts of the United States, Release Dates
  55. ^ FRB: G.19 Release-Consumer Credit. Retrieved on 2008-02-04.
  56. ^ Third World Debt, by Kenneth Rogoff: The Concise Encyclopedia of Economics: Library of Economics and Liberty
  57. ^ FTD - Statistics - Trade Highlights - 2004 Annual Highlights

 

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